Who Will Win the Europa League Final?
The stage is set in Bilbao for a Europa League final that promises chaos, drama, and potentially, legacy-defining moments. Spurs and Manchester United go head-to-head on Wednesday at 8pm in what feels like a season-defining clash for both clubs. It’s a beautifully brutal finale — both teams walking a tightrope with no room for error. However, who will win the Europa League final? Let’s find out!
A High-Stakes Showdown in Bilbao
For Tottenham, this final could flip their entire season on its head. A trophy would crown it a success; defeat might cast a shadow over all progress made. Manchester United, on the other hand, are narrow favourites with Bet 442, priced at 4/5 to lift the trophy, with Spurs slightly behind at 10/11. The 90-minute odds are just as tight, showing United at 7/4 and Spurs at 29/20. This is a toss-of-a-coin final — white or red, heads or tails.
Form Guide: Premier League vs Europa League
Trying to read this final through the lens of league form is a fool’s errand. Both clubs have displayed completely different versions of themselves in the Europa League. United have averaged 2.5 goals per game during their knockout run, putting 19 past the likes of Real Sociedad, Lyon, and Athletic Club. It’s been dominant, ruthless, and often unrecognisable compared to their domestic showings.
Spurs, meanwhile, become a different animal when their first-choice back five are available. With Vicario, Porro, van de Ven, Romero, and Udogie in place under Ange Postecoglou, Spurs have won 18 of 30 matches, losing only six. That’s a points-per-game average that would equate to 76 points over a Premier League season — enough to finish second this year. There’s clearly a strong side lurking beneath the inconsistencies.
The Value in a 90-Minute Draw
Given how evenly matched these sides are, betting on neither team to win inside 90 minutes could be a smart angle. Bet 442 is offering 23/10 on the draw, and history supports this outcome. Three of the last four Europa League finals have ended level after normal time. Finals between two Premier League giants tend to be cagey, tense affairs where neither side wants to give an inch. That makes the draw a serious contender in the outright market.
Fouls: The Overlooked Goldmine
Where real value lies for this final is in the fouls market. Europa League finals are historically physical and fractious, and this match looks to be no exception.
Across the last 15 finals, an average of 31.2 fouls per game has been recorded. For comparison, Premier League matches this season have seen just 22.5 fouls per 90 minutes. That’s a near 40% increase in fouls during finals of this calibre — a stat that simply can’t be ignored.
Bet 442 offers 24+ match fouls at 5/6, which looks like a very attractive starting point. Even more appealing is the laddering approach: exploring the markets all the way up to 32+ fouls at 10/1, which is well within reach given historical trends.
Spurs: Foul Frenzy Specialists
Under Postecoglou, Tottenham have become one of the most foul-involved teams in England. His expansive, man-for-man system creates numerous one-on-one battles — and consequently, fouls. Across 75 Premier League matches since his arrival, Spurs games have averaged 24.5 fouls. With silverware on the line and tensions running high, we can expect that number to be met — or exceeded — on Wednesday night.
Europa League Final Free Bet
UK punters, join Bet442 to bet on the Europa League Final. After depositing and betting £20, you’ll get £20 in free bets! Easy money!
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